What is Pennant Group, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Pennant Group, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $28.90 per share. The share price was $40.77 on September 25, 2026, 41% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $15.59 | -62% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $28.90 | -29% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $53.68 | +32% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $38.98 | $42.12 | $45.96 | $50.76 | $56.93 |
| 8.0% | $31.41 | $33.44 | $35.85 | $38.74 | $42.27 |
| 9.0% | $25.90 | $27.29 | $28.90 | $30.77 | $32.99 |
| 10.0% | $21.72 | $22.71 | $23.84 | $25.12 | $26.60 |
| 11.0% | $18.46 | $19.18 | $19.99 | $20.91 | $21.94 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Pennant Group, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (19.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions