What is Park Ohio Holdings Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Park Ohio Holdings Corp's reported free cash flow gives -$40.08 per share. The share price was $46.60 on November 10, 2026, 216% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.0% | 10.0% | -$41.22 | -188% |
| Base | 7.0% | 9.0% | -$40.08 | -186% |
| Bull | 12.0% | 8.0% | -$37.95 | -181% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$39.25 | -$39.00 | -$38.69 | -$38.30 | -$37.80 |
| 8.0% | -$39.87 | -$39.71 | -$39.51 | -$39.28 | -$38.99 |
| 9.0% | -$40.32 | -$40.21 | -$40.08 | -$39.93 | -$39.75 |
| 10.0% | -$40.66 | -$40.59 | -$40.49 | -$40.39 | -$40.27 |
| 11.0% | -$40.94 | -$40.88 | -$40.81 | -$40.74 | -$40.65 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Park Ohio Holdings Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions