What is Oxford Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Oxford Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $19.76 per share. The share price was $25.95 on September 25, 2026, 31% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 9.5% | 10.0% | $10.57 | -59% |
| Base | 14.5% | 9.0% | $19.76 | -24% |
| Bull | 19.5% | 8.0% | $38.06 | +47% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $26.87 | $29.08 | $31.78 | $35.16 | $39.50 |
| 8.0% | $21.53 | $22.97 | $24.66 | $26.69 | $29.18 |
| 9.0% | $17.65 | $18.63 | $19.76 | $21.08 | $22.64 |
| 10.0% | $14.70 | $15.40 | $16.19 | $17.09 | $18.14 |
| 11.0% | $12.40 | $12.91 | $13.48 | $14.12 | $14.85 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Oxford Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions