What is ONESPAWORLD HOLDINGS Ltd worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on ONESPAWORLD HOLDINGS Ltd's reported free cash flow gives $21.42 per share. The share price was $22.92 on September 25, 2026, 7% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $12.86 | -44% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $21.42 | -7% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $37.36 | +63% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $27.90 | $29.92 | $32.39 | $35.48 | $39.44 |
| 8.0% | $23.03 | $24.34 | $25.89 | $27.75 | $30.02 |
| 9.0% | $19.49 | $20.38 | $21.42 | $22.62 | $24.05 |
| 10.0% | $16.80 | $17.44 | $18.16 | $18.99 | $19.94 |
| 11.0% | $14.70 | $15.17 | $15.69 | $16.28 | $16.94 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at ONESPAWORLD HOLDINGS Ltd's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (51.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions