What is Onterris, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Onterris, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $76.18 per share. The share price was $14.00 on September 25, 2026, 82% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $42.53 | +204% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $76.18 | +444% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $138.84 | +892% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $101.66 | $109.60 | $119.31 | $131.45 | $147.06 |
| 8.0% | $82.52 | $87.67 | $93.76 | $101.07 | $110.00 |
| 9.0% | $68.60 | $72.12 | $76.18 | $80.92 | $86.53 |
| 10.0% | $58.04 | $60.54 | $63.38 | $66.62 | $70.37 |
| 11.0% | $49.77 | $51.61 | $53.66 | $55.97 | $58.59 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Onterris, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (20.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions