What is Omnicom Group Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Omnicom Group Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $277.15 per share. The share price was $76.15 on September 25, 2026, 73% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $181.38 | +138% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $277.15 | +264% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $468.08 | +515% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $347.43 | $368.84 | $394.99 | $427.69 | $469.72 |
| 8.0% | $295.03 | $308.90 | $325.31 | $344.99 | $369.04 |
| 9.0% | $256.71 | $266.20 | $277.15 | $289.92 | $305.01 |
| 10.0% | $227.50 | $234.25 | $241.89 | $250.63 | $260.72 |
| 11.0% | $204.52 | $209.46 | $214.99 | $221.21 | $228.26 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Omnicom Group Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions