What is OLIN Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on OLIN Corp's reported free cash flow gives $11.31 per share. The share price was $16.40 on September 25, 2026, 45% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | -$2.13 | -113% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $11.31 | -31% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $38.09 | +132% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $21.04 | $23.98 | $27.58 | $32.08 | $37.87 |
| 8.0% | $13.80 | $15.71 | $17.96 | $20.67 | $23.98 |
| 9.0% | $8.49 | $9.80 | $11.31 | $13.07 | $15.14 |
| 10.0% | $4.45 | $5.38 | $6.43 | $7.63 | $9.02 |
| 11.0% | $1.26 | $1.94 | $2.70 | $3.56 | $4.53 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at OLIN Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions