What is Universal Display Corp PA worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Universal Display Corp PA's reported free cash flow gives $75.27 per share. The share price was $77.39 on September 25, 2026, 3% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.5% | 10.0% | $47.84 | -38% |
| Base | 8.5% | 9.0% | $75.27 | -3% |
| Bull | 13.5% | 8.0% | $129.95 | +68% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $95.78 | $102.07 | $109.77 | $119.38 | $131.75 |
| 8.0% | $80.45 | $84.53 | $89.35 | $95.14 | $102.22 |
| 9.0% | $69.26 | $72.05 | $75.27 | $79.02 | $83.46 |
| 10.0% | $60.74 | $62.73 | $64.97 | $67.55 | $70.51 |
| 11.0% | $54.05 | $55.51 | $57.13 | $58.96 | $61.04 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Universal Display Corp PA's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions