What is O-I Glass, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on O-I Glass, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$13.51 per share. The share price was $5.86 on September 25, 2026, 143% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.0% | 10.0% | -$19.50 | -433% |
| Base | 1.0% | 9.0% | -$13.51 | -330% |
| Bull | 6.0% | 8.0% | -$2.31 | -139% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$9.33 | -$8.08 | -$6.54 | -$4.62 | -$2.16 |
| 8.0% | -$12.43 | -$11.62 | -$10.66 | -$9.50 | -$8.09 |
| 9.0% | -$14.71 | -$14.15 | -$13.51 | -$12.76 | -$11.87 |
| 10.0% | -$16.44 | -$16.05 | -$15.60 | -$15.09 | -$14.49 |
| 11.0% | -$17.82 | -$17.52 | -$17.20 | -$16.84 | -$16.42 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at O-I Glass, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (1.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions