What is Omega Healthcare Investors Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Omega Healthcare Investors Inc's reported free cash flow gives $51.26 per share. The share price was $46.28 on September 25, 2026, 10% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.0% | 10.0% | $31.63 | -32% |
| Base | 6.0% | 9.0% | $51.26 | +11% |
| Bull | 11.0% | 8.0% | $87.91 | +90% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $65.40 | $69.71 | $74.99 | $81.58 | $90.05 |
| 8.0% | $54.85 | $57.65 | $60.96 | $64.92 | $69.77 |
| 9.0% | $47.14 | $49.06 | $51.26 | $53.84 | $56.88 |
| 10.0% | $41.27 | $42.63 | $44.17 | $45.94 | $47.97 |
| 11.0% | $36.65 | $37.65 | $38.77 | $40.02 | $41.44 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Omega Healthcare Investors Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions