What is Optical Cable Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Optical Cable Corp's reported free cash flow gives $2.65 per share. The share price was $14.53 on September 25, 2026, 447% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $1.68 | -88% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $2.65 | -82% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $4.60 | -68% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $3.37 | $3.59 | $3.86 | $4.19 | $4.62 |
| 8.0% | $2.84 | $2.98 | $3.15 | $3.35 | $3.59 |
| 9.0% | $2.45 | $2.54 | $2.65 | $2.78 | $2.94 |
| 10.0% | $2.15 | $2.22 | $2.29 | $2.38 | $2.49 |
| 11.0% | $1.91 | $1.96 | $2.02 | $2.08 | $2.15 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Optical Cable Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions