What is Nextpower Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Nextpower Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $119.08 per share. The share price was $80.85 on September 25, 2026, 32% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $75.47 | -7% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $119.08 | +47% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $200.27 | +148% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $152.09 | $162.38 | $174.97 | $190.69 | $210.91 |
| 8.0% | $127.29 | $133.96 | $141.85 | $151.32 | $162.89 |
| 9.0% | $109.24 | $113.81 | $119.08 | $125.22 | $132.48 |
| 10.0% | $95.56 | $98.81 | $102.49 | $106.69 | $111.54 |
| 11.0% | $84.86 | $87.24 | $89.89 | $92.89 | $96.28 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Nextpower Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (24.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions