What is NXP Semiconductors N.V. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s reported free cash flow gives $174.10 per share. The share price was $259.98 on November 10, 2026, 49% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.5% | 10.0% | $98.23 | -62% |
| Base | 7.5% | 9.0% | $174.10 | -33% |
| Bull | 12.5% | 8.0% | $325.38 | +25% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $230.50 | $247.76 | $268.86 | $295.24 | $329.15 |
| 8.0% | $188.38 | $199.57 | $212.80 | $228.68 | $248.09 |
| 9.0% | $157.62 | $165.27 | $174.10 | $184.41 | $196.59 |
| 10.0% | $134.20 | $139.64 | $145.81 | $152.86 | $161.00 |
| 11.0% | $115.79 | $119.79 | $124.25 | $129.26 | $134.95 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions