What is Quanex Building Products CORP worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Quanex Building Products CORP's reported free cash flow gives $60.15 per share. The share price was $19.74 on September 25, 2026, 67% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $31.44 | +59% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $60.15 | +205% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $113.62 | +476% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $81.89 | $88.67 | $96.95 | $107.31 | $120.62 |
| 8.0% | $65.56 | $69.96 | $75.15 | $81.38 | $89.00 |
| 9.0% | $53.68 | $56.68 | $60.15 | $64.20 | $68.98 |
| 10.0% | $44.67 | $46.81 | $49.23 | $52.00 | $55.19 |
| 11.0% | $37.62 | $39.18 | $40.94 | $42.91 | $45.14 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Quanex Building Products CORP's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions