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DCF valuation

What is Newell Brands Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Newell Brands Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$10.57 per share. The share price was $5.93 on November 10, 2026, 156% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$17M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$182.2M
Cash
$249M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$4.84B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
418,200,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-5.2%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%-$10.72-281%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%-$10.57-278%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%-$10.28-273%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$10.47-$10.44-$10.40-$10.36-$10.30
8.0%-$10.54-$10.52-$10.50-$10.47-$10.44
9.0%-$10.59-$10.58-$10.57-$10.55-$10.53
10.0%-$10.64-$10.63-$10.62-$10.60-$10.59
11.0%-$10.67-$10.66-$10.66-$10.65-$10.64

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Newell Brands Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-5.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Newell Brands Inc. company page