What is Netscout Systems Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Netscout Systems Inc's reported free cash flow gives $60.47 per share. The share price was $32.47 on November 9, 2026, 46% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.5% | 10.0% | $40.02 | +23% |
| Base | 0.5% | 9.0% | $60.47 | +86% |
| Bull | 5.5% | 8.0% | $100.28 | +209% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $74.65 | $78.90 | $84.09 | $90.59 | $98.94 |
| 8.0% | $64.13 | $66.89 | $70.14 | $74.05 | $78.83 |
| 9.0% | $56.41 | $58.30 | $60.47 | $63.01 | $66.01 |
| 10.0% | $50.51 | $51.85 | $53.37 | $55.11 | $57.11 |
| 11.0% | $45.85 | $46.84 | $47.93 | $49.17 | $50.57 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Netscout Systems Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (0.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions