What is Northrim Bancorp Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Northrim Bancorp Inc's reported free cash flow gives $200.73 per share. The share price was $24.98 on September 25, 2026, 88% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $123.55 | +395% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $200.73 | +704% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $344.46 | +1,279% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $259.17 | $277.39 | $299.66 | $327.50 | $363.29 |
| 8.0% | $215.27 | $227.09 | $241.05 | $257.81 | $278.29 |
| 9.0% | $183.33 | $191.41 | $200.73 | $211.61 | $224.46 |
| 10.0% | $159.11 | $164.86 | $171.37 | $178.81 | $187.40 |
| 11.0% | $140.16 | $144.37 | $149.08 | $154.38 | $160.38 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Northrim Bancorp Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 8 fiscal years (60.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions