What is Nerdwallet, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Nerdwallet, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $57.69 per share. The share price was $7.42 on November 10, 2026, 87% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $35.43 | +378% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $57.69 | +677% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $99.13 | +1,236% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $74.54 | $79.79 | $86.22 | $94.24 | $104.56 |
| 8.0% | $61.88 | $65.29 | $69.31 | $74.15 | $80.05 |
| 9.0% | $52.67 | $55.00 | $57.69 | $60.82 | $64.53 |
| 10.0% | $45.69 | $47.34 | $49.22 | $51.37 | $53.84 |
| 11.0% | $40.22 | $41.44 | $42.79 | $44.32 | $46.05 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Nerdwallet, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (35.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions