What is NIQ Global Intelligence plc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on NIQ Global Intelligence plc's reported free cash flow gives $15.14 per share. The share price was $17.83 on September 25, 2026, 18% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.0% | 10.0% | $4.88 | -73% |
| Base | 12.0% | 9.0% | $15.14 | -15% |
| Bull | 17.0% | 8.0% | $35.58 | +100% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $22.96 | $25.38 | $28.33 | $32.03 | $36.77 |
| 8.0% | $17.10 | $18.67 | $20.52 | $22.74 | $25.46 |
| 9.0% | $12.83 | $13.90 | $15.14 | $16.58 | $18.29 |
| 10.0% | $9.59 | $10.35 | $11.21 | $12.20 | $13.34 |
| 11.0% | $7.04 | $7.60 | $8.23 | $8.93 | $9.73 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at NIQ Global Intelligence plc's revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (12.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions