What is Nacco Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Nacco Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $16.54 per share. The share price was $34.95 on November 10, 2026, 111% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $12.58 | -64% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $16.54 | -53% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $23.91 | -32% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $19.54 | $20.47 | $21.62 | $23.04 | $24.88 |
| 8.0% | $17.29 | $17.89 | $18.61 | $19.47 | $20.52 |
| 9.0% | $15.65 | $16.06 | $16.54 | $17.10 | $17.76 |
| 10.0% | $14.41 | $14.70 | $15.04 | $15.42 | $15.86 |
| 11.0% | $13.44 | $13.65 | $13.89 | $14.17 | $14.47 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Nacco Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions