What is Myr Group Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Myr Group Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $373.12 per share. The share price was $292.58 on September 25, 2026, 22% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.0% | 10.0% | $231.41 | -21% |
| Base | 10.0% | 9.0% | $373.12 | +28% |
| Bull | 15.0% | 8.0% | $637.43 | +118% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $477.58 | $509.80 | $549.17 | $598.39 | $661.66 |
| 8.0% | $399.38 | $420.27 | $444.96 | $474.59 | $510.80 |
| 9.0% | $342.35 | $356.63 | $373.12 | $392.34 | $415.07 |
| 10.0% | $299.00 | $309.16 | $320.67 | $333.83 | $349.01 |
| 11.0% | $264.99 | $272.44 | $280.76 | $290.13 | $300.74 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Myr Group Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions