Invesaro

Stocks MVST DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Microvast Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Microvast Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $5.92 per share. The share price was $0.22 on November 10, 2026, 96% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$56.1M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$113.7M
Cash
$84.8M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$14.5M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
324,689,242
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
31.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$3.68+1,573%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$5.92+2,590%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$10.09+4,483%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$7.62$8.15$8.79$9.60$10.64
8.0%$6.34$6.69$7.09$7.58$8.17
9.0%$5.42$5.65$5.92$6.24$6.61
10.0%$4.72$4.88$5.07$5.29$5.54
11.0%$4.17$4.29$4.42$4.58$4.75

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Microvast Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (31.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Microvast Holdings, Inc. company page