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DCF valuation

What is MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $73.32 per share. The share price was $285.57 on September 25, 2026, 289% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$192.8M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$151.2M
Cash
$89.6M
balance sheet of July 3, 2026
Debt
$340.5M
balance sheet of July 3, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
73,986,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
12.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear8.0%5.0%2.0%10.0%$43.33-85%
Base13.0%8.0%2.5%9.0%$73.32-74%
Bull18.0%10.5%3.0%8.0%$129.20-55%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$95.79$102.77$111.30$121.96$135.66
8.0%$78.93$83.46$88.81$95.22$103.07
9.0%$66.66$69.75$73.32$77.49$82.41
10.0%$57.34$59.54$62.03$64.88$68.17
11.0%$50.04$51.65$53.46$55.49$57.78

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. company page