What is Marvell Technology, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Marvell Technology, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $51.86 per share. The share price was $261.94 on September 25, 2026, 405% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $31.05 | -88% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $51.86 | -80% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $90.62 | -65% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $67.62 | $72.54 | $78.54 | $86.05 | $95.70 |
| 8.0% | $55.78 | $58.97 | $62.74 | $67.26 | $72.78 |
| 9.0% | $47.17 | $49.35 | $51.86 | $54.80 | $58.26 |
| 10.0% | $40.64 | $42.19 | $43.94 | $45.95 | $48.27 |
| 11.0% | $35.53 | $36.66 | $37.93 | $39.36 | $40.98 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Marvell Technology, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (28.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions