What is Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $467.22 per share. The share price was $1,354.94 on November 10, 2026, 190% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $288.44 | -79% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $467.22 | -66% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $800.12 | -41% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $602.58 | $644.79 | $696.37 | $760.85 | $843.76 |
| 8.0% | $500.90 | $528.27 | $560.61 | $599.43 | $646.87 |
| 9.0% | $426.91 | $445.63 | $467.22 | $492.41 | $522.18 |
| 10.0% | $370.82 | $384.12 | $399.21 | $416.44 | $436.33 |
| 11.0% | $326.92 | $336.68 | $347.58 | $359.85 | $373.75 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (27.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions