What is Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $476.43 per share. The share price was $1,367.43 on September 25, 2026, 187% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $297.65 | -78% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $476.43 | -65% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $809.34 | -41% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $611.79 | $654.00 | $705.58 | $770.07 | $852.97 |
| 8.0% | $510.11 | $537.48 | $569.83 | $608.64 | $656.09 |
| 9.0% | $436.13 | $454.84 | $476.43 | $501.62 | $531.40 |
| 10.0% | $380.03 | $393.34 | $408.42 | $425.66 | $445.54 |
| 11.0% | $336.13 | $345.89 | $356.79 | $369.06 | $382.96 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (27.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions