What is M-tron Industries, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on M-tron Industries, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $112.86 per share. The share price was $74.05 on September 25, 2026, 34% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $80.28 | +8% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $112.86 | +52% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $173.53 | +134% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $137.53 | $145.22 | $154.62 | $166.38 | $181.48 |
| 8.0% | $119.00 | $123.99 | $129.88 | $136.96 | $145.60 |
| 9.0% | $105.52 | $108.93 | $112.86 | $117.45 | $122.88 |
| 10.0% | $95.29 | $97.72 | $100.47 | $103.61 | $107.23 |
| 11.0% | $87.30 | $89.07 | $91.06 | $93.30 | $95.83 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at M-tron Industries, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (26.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions