What is Motorcar Parts of America Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Motorcar Parts of America Inc's reported free cash flow gives $17.98 per share. The share price was $10.70 on September 25, 2026, 40% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.0% | 10.0% | $11.40 | +7% |
| Base | 8.0% | 9.0% | $17.98 | +68% |
| Bull | 13.0% | 8.0% | $30.24 | +183% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $22.77 | $24.24 | $26.03 | $28.28 | $31.16 |
| 8.0% | $19.18 | $20.14 | $21.26 | $22.62 | $24.27 |
| 9.0% | $16.57 | $17.22 | $17.98 | $18.85 | $19.89 |
| 10.0% | $14.58 | $15.05 | $15.57 | $16.17 | $16.86 |
| 11.0% | $13.02 | $13.36 | $13.74 | $14.17 | $14.65 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Motorcar Parts of America Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions