What is Movado Group Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Movado Group Inc's reported free cash flow gives $55.53 per share. The share price was $33.48 on September 28, 2026, 40% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.0% | 10.0% | $37.80 | +13% |
| Base | 6.0% | 9.0% | $55.53 | +66% |
| Bull | 11.0% | 8.0% | $88.62 | +165% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $68.29 | $72.19 | $76.95 | $82.90 | $90.55 |
| 8.0% | $58.77 | $61.29 | $64.28 | $67.86 | $72.24 |
| 9.0% | $51.81 | $53.54 | $55.53 | $57.85 | $60.60 |
| 10.0% | $46.51 | $47.74 | $49.13 | $50.72 | $52.55 |
| 11.0% | $42.34 | $43.24 | $44.24 | $45.38 | $46.66 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Movado Group Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions