What is Modine Manufacturing Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Modine Manufacturing Co's reported free cash flow gives $42.90 per share. The share price was $102.99 on November 10, 2026, 140% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.0% | 10.0% | $22.58 | -78% |
| Base | 12.0% | 9.0% | $42.90 | -58% |
| Bull | 17.0% | 8.0% | $83.38 | -19% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $58.39 | $63.18 | $69.03 | $76.35 | $85.75 |
| 8.0% | $46.78 | $49.89 | $53.56 | $57.96 | $63.35 |
| 9.0% | $38.33 | $40.45 | $42.90 | $45.76 | $49.14 |
| 10.0% | $31.90 | $33.41 | $35.12 | $37.08 | $39.34 |
| 11.0% | $26.87 | $27.97 | $29.21 | $30.60 | $32.18 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Modine Manufacturing Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions