What is Monro, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Monro, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $15.27 per share. The share price was $11.14 on November 9, 2026, 27% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.5% | 10.0% | $8.48 | -24% |
| Base | 0.5% | 9.0% | $15.27 | +37% |
| Bull | 5.5% | 8.0% | $28.50 | +156% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $19.98 | $21.39 | $23.12 | $25.27 | $28.05 |
| 8.0% | $16.48 | $17.40 | $18.48 | $19.78 | $21.37 |
| 9.0% | $13.92 | $14.55 | $15.27 | $16.11 | $17.11 |
| 10.0% | $11.96 | $12.41 | $12.91 | $13.49 | $14.15 |
| 11.0% | $10.41 | $10.74 | $11.10 | $11.51 | $11.98 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Monro, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (0.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions