What is Monro, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Monro, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $16.59 per share. The share price was $13.74 on September 25, 2026, 17% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.5% | 10.0% | $9.80 | -29% |
| Base | 0.5% | 9.0% | $16.59 | +21% |
| Bull | 5.5% | 8.0% | $29.82 | +117% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $21.30 | $22.71 | $24.44 | $26.60 | $29.37 |
| 8.0% | $17.81 | $18.72 | $19.80 | $21.10 | $22.69 |
| 9.0% | $15.24 | $15.87 | $16.59 | $17.43 | $18.43 |
| 10.0% | $13.28 | $13.73 | $14.23 | $14.81 | $15.48 |
| 11.0% | $11.74 | $12.06 | $12.43 | $12.84 | $13.30 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Monro, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (0.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions