What is 3M Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on 3M Co's reported free cash flow gives $7.48 per share. The share price was $189.37 on November 10, 2026, 2,433% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10.0% | 10.0% | -$2.11 | -101% |
| Base | -5.0% | 9.0% | $7.48 | -96% |
| Bull | 0.0% | 8.0% | $25.35 | -87% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $13.86 | $15.73 | $18.03 | $20.90 | $24.58 |
| 8.0% | $9.15 | $10.37 | $11.81 | $13.53 | $15.64 |
| 9.0% | $5.68 | $6.52 | $7.48 | $8.60 | $9.92 |
| 10.0% | $3.02 | $3.61 | $4.28 | $5.05 | $5.94 |
| 11.0% | $0.91 | $1.34 | $1.83 | $2.37 | $2.99 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at 3M Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-5.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions