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DCF valuation

What is Miller Industries Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Miller Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $132.05 per share. The share price was $48.10 on November 10, 2026, 64% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$85M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$8.7M
Cash
$60.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$3.5M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
11,614,605
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
3.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-1.0%0.5%2.0%10.0%$83.57+74%
Base4.0%3.5%2.5%9.0%$132.05+175%
Bull9.0%6.0%3.0%8.0%$222.58+363%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$166.52$176.98$189.76$205.74$226.29
8.0%$140.85$147.63$155.65$165.27$177.02
9.0%$122.06$126.70$132.05$138.30$145.68
10.0%$107.74$111.03$114.77$119.04$123.97
11.0%$96.45$98.87$101.57$104.61$108.06

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Miller Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Miller Industries Inc company page