What is Mueller Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Mueller Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $177.71 per share. The share price was $55.00 on November 10, 2026, 69% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 6.5% | 10.0% | $115.12 | +109% |
| Base | 11.5% | 9.0% | $177.71 | +223% |
| Bull | 16.5% | 8.0% | $302.45 | +450% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $225.33 | $240.05 | $258.04 | $280.54 | $309.45 |
| 8.0% | $189.65 | $199.20 | $210.48 | $224.02 | $240.57 |
| 9.0% | $163.65 | $170.18 | $177.71 | $186.50 | $196.88 |
| 10.0% | $143.90 | $148.54 | $153.80 | $159.81 | $166.75 |
| 11.0% | $128.41 | $131.81 | $135.62 | $139.90 | $144.75 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Mueller Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions