What is Marketwise, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Marketwise, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $241.08 per share. The share price was $20.34 on September 25, 2026, 92% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -7.0% | 10.0% | $156.55 | +670% |
| Base | -2.0% | 9.0% | $241.08 | +1,085% |
| Bull | 3.0% | 8.0% | $398.85 | +1,861% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $298.70 | $315.84 | $336.79 | $362.99 | $396.66 |
| 8.0% | $256.04 | $267.16 | $280.30 | $296.07 | $315.34 |
| 9.0% | $224.71 | $232.31 | $241.08 | $251.32 | $263.41 |
| 10.0% | $200.71 | $206.11 | $212.24 | $219.24 | $227.32 |
| 11.0% | $181.72 | $185.68 | $190.11 | $195.09 | $200.74 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Marketwise, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-2.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions