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DCF valuation

What is Marketwise, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Marketwise, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $238.81 per share. The share price was $22.29 on November 10, 2026, 91% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$45.6M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$39.5M
Cash
$27.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
2,436,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-2.1%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-7.0%-2.5%2.0%10.0%$154.28+592%
Base-2.0%0.5%2.5%9.0%$238.81+971%
Bull3.0%3.0%3.0%8.0%$396.58+1,679%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$296.43$313.57$334.53$360.72$394.39
8.0%$253.77$264.89$278.03$293.80$313.07
9.0%$222.44$230.04$238.81$249.05$261.14
10.0%$198.44$203.84$209.97$216.97$225.05
11.0%$179.45$183.41$187.84$192.82$198.47

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Marketwise, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-2.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Marketwise, Inc. company page