What is Mks Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Mks Inc's reported free cash flow gives $161.52 per share. The share price was $260.82 on September 25, 2026, 61% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 6.0% | 10.0% | $86.63 | -67% |
| Base | 11.0% | 9.0% | $161.52 | -38% |
| Bull | 16.0% | 8.0% | $301.15 | +15% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $217.03 | $234.19 | $255.16 | $281.37 | $315.08 |
| 8.0% | $175.44 | $186.57 | $199.72 | $215.50 | $234.79 |
| 9.0% | $145.13 | $152.74 | $161.52 | $171.76 | $183.86 |
| 10.0% | $122.10 | $127.51 | $133.64 | $140.65 | $148.74 |
| 11.0% | $104.04 | $108.01 | $112.44 | $117.43 | $123.08 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Mks Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions