What is Mind Technology, Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Mind Technology, Inc's reported free cash flow gives $9.09 per share. The share price was $4.35 on September 25, 2026, 52% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 9.0% | 10.0% | $6.27 | +44% |
| Base | 14.0% | 9.0% | $9.09 | +109% |
| Bull | 19.0% | 8.0% | $14.35 | +230% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $11.22 | $11.88 | $12.69 | $13.70 | $15.00 |
| 8.0% | $9.62 | $10.05 | $10.56 | $11.17 | $11.91 |
| 9.0% | $8.46 | $8.76 | $9.09 | $9.49 | $9.95 |
| 10.0% | $7.58 | $7.79 | $8.03 | $8.30 | $8.61 |
| 11.0% | $6.89 | $7.04 | $7.22 | $7.41 | $7.63 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Mind Technology, Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions