What is Mohawk Industries Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Mohawk Industries Inc's reported free cash flow gives $140.24 per share. The share price was $151.86 on November 10, 2026, 8% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.5% | 10.0% | $81.31 | -46% |
| Base | 2.5% | 9.0% | $140.24 | -8% |
| Bull | 7.5% | 8.0% | $255.00 | +68% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $181.67 | $194.17 | $209.45 | $228.55 | $253.11 |
| 8.0% | $150.87 | $158.97 | $168.55 | $180.05 | $194.10 |
| 9.0% | $128.30 | $133.85 | $140.24 | $147.70 | $156.52 |
| 10.0% | $111.07 | $115.01 | $119.48 | $124.58 | $130.48 |
| 11.0% | $97.48 | $100.37 | $103.60 | $107.24 | $111.35 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Mohawk Industries Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (2.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions