What is Meta Platforms, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Meta Platforms, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $565.35 per share. The share price was $751.66 on September 25, 2026, 33% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $333.11 | -56% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $565.35 | -25% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $997.79 | +33% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $741.18 | $796.01 | $863.02 | $946.78 | $1,054.47 |
| 8.0% | $609.09 | $644.65 | $686.67 | $737.09 | $798.72 |
| 9.0% | $512.99 | $537.30 | $565.35 | $598.07 | $636.75 |
| 10.0% | $440.12 | $457.41 | $477.00 | $499.39 | $525.22 |
| 11.0% | $383.10 | $395.77 | $409.94 | $425.87 | $443.93 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Meta Platforms, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (18.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions