What is Mercadolibre Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Mercadolibre Inc's reported free cash flow gives $6,842.66 per share. The share price was $1,490.24 on November 10, 2026, 78% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $4,087.72 | +174% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $6,842.66 | +359% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $11,972.45 | +703% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $8,928.47 | $9,578.83 | $10,373.72 | $11,367.33 | $12,644.83 |
| 8.0% | $7,361.59 | $7,783.34 | $8,281.79 | $8,879.92 | $9,610.97 |
| 9.0% | $6,221.56 | $6,509.93 | $6,842.66 | $7,230.84 | $7,689.61 |
| 10.0% | $5,357.12 | $5,562.19 | $5,794.60 | $6,060.21 | $6,366.69 |
| 11.0% | $4,680.73 | $4,831.07 | $4,999.09 | $5,188.12 | $5,402.35 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Mercadolibre Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (48.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions