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DCF valuation

What is MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $15.83 per share. The share price was $20.59 on September 25, 2026, 30% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$22.4M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$44.3M
Cash
$43.9M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
17,162,850
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-5.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%$10.98-47%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%$15.83-23%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$24.86+21%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$19.05$20.00$21.16$22.61$24.48
8.0%$16.67$17.29$18.02$18.89$19.95
9.0%$14.92$15.34$15.83$16.39$17.06
10.0%$13.57$13.87$14.21$14.60$15.05
11.0%$12.51$12.73$12.97$13.25$13.56

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-5.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. company page