What is Mobileye Global Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Mobileye Global Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $22.13 per share. The share price was $5.60 on November 10, 2026, 75% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 9.5% | 10.0% | $14.31 | +155% |
| Base | 14.5% | 9.0% | $22.13 | +295% |
| Bull | 19.5% | 8.0% | $37.71 | +573% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $28.18 | $30.06 | $32.36 | $35.24 | $38.94 |
| 8.0% | $23.64 | $24.86 | $26.30 | $28.03 | $30.15 |
| 9.0% | $20.33 | $21.17 | $22.13 | $23.25 | $24.58 |
| 10.0% | $17.83 | $18.42 | $19.09 | $19.86 | $20.75 |
| 11.0% | $15.86 | $16.30 | $16.78 | $17.33 | $17.95 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Mobileye Global Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions