What is Masco Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Masco Corp's reported free cash flow gives $47.79 per share. The share price was $68.85 on September 25, 2026, 44% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.0% | 10.0% | $25.20 | -63% |
| Base | 1.0% | 9.0% | $47.79 | -31% |
| Bull | 6.0% | 8.0% | $89.98 | +31% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $63.53 | $68.26 | $74.05 | $81.28 | $90.57 |
| 8.0% | $51.84 | $54.91 | $58.54 | $62.89 | $68.21 |
| 9.0% | $43.27 | $45.37 | $47.79 | $50.62 | $53.95 |
| 10.0% | $36.72 | $38.21 | $39.90 | $41.84 | $44.07 |
| 11.0% | $31.55 | $32.65 | $33.87 | $35.24 | $36.80 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Masco Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (1.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions