What is Magnera Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Magnera Corp's reported free cash flow gives -$12.16 per share. The share price was $12.13 on September 25, 2026, 200% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$25.30 | -309% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | -$12.16 | -200% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $12.32 | +2% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$2.20 | $0.90 | $4.69 | $9.44 | $15.53 |
| 8.0% | -$9.68 | -$7.67 | -$5.29 | -$2.44 | $1.05 |
| 9.0% | -$15.12 | -$13.75 | -$12.16 | -$10.30 | -$8.12 |
| 10.0% | -$19.25 | -$18.27 | -$17.16 | -$15.89 | -$14.43 |
| 11.0% | -$22.47 | -$21.76 | -$20.96 | -$20.05 | -$19.03 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Magnera Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (31.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions