What is Lsb Industries, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Lsb Industries, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $1.00 per share. The share price was $9.89 on September 25, 2026, 890% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.0% | 10.0% | -$1.59 | -116% |
| Base | 12.0% | 9.0% | $1.00 | -90% |
| Bull | 17.0% | 8.0% | $6.16 | -38% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $2.97 | $3.58 | $4.33 | $5.26 | $6.46 |
| 8.0% | $1.49 | $1.89 | $2.36 | $2.92 | $3.60 |
| 9.0% | $0.42 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $1.36 | $1.79 |
| 10.0% | -$0.40 | -$0.21 | $0.01 | $0.26 | $0.55 |
| 11.0% | -$1.04 | -$0.90 | -$0.75 | -$0.57 | -$0.37 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Lsb Industries, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions