What is Luxfer Holdings PLC worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Luxfer Holdings PLC's reported free cash flow gives $14.37 per share. The share price was $17.25 on September 25, 2026, 20% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -1.5% | 10.0% | $8.40 | -51% |
| Base | 3.5% | 9.0% | $14.37 | -17% |
| Bull | 8.5% | 8.0% | $26.28 | +52% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $18.70 | $20.01 | $21.61 | $23.61 | $26.18 |
| 8.0% | $15.48 | $16.33 | $17.33 | $18.53 | $20.01 |
| 9.0% | $13.12 | $13.70 | $14.37 | $15.15 | $16.08 |
| 10.0% | $11.32 | $11.73 | $12.20 | $12.74 | $13.35 |
| 11.0% | $9.90 | $10.21 | $10.55 | $10.93 | $11.36 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Luxfer Holdings PLC's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions