What is Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $84.18 per share. The share price was $43.58 on September 25, 2026, 48% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.5% | 10.0% | $42.27 | -3% |
| Base | 12.5% | 9.0% | $84.18 | +93% |
| Bull | 17.5% | 8.0% | $167.70 | +285% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $116.25 | $126.18 | $138.33 | $153.51 | $173.03 |
| 8.0% | $92.21 | $98.65 | $106.27 | $115.40 | $126.57 |
| 9.0% | $74.69 | $79.10 | $84.18 | $90.11 | $97.12 |
| 10.0% | $61.39 | $64.53 | $68.08 | $72.14 | $76.82 |
| 11.0% | $50.97 | $53.27 | $55.84 | $58.73 | $62.00 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (12.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions