What is Lantronix Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Lantronix Inc's reported free cash flow gives $7.55 per share. The share price was $7.02 on September 25, 2026, 7% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 6.0% | 10.0% | $5.20 | -26% |
| Base | 11.0% | 9.0% | $7.55 | +8% |
| Bull | 16.0% | 8.0% | $11.94 | +70% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $9.30 | $9.84 | $10.50 | $11.32 | $12.38 |
| 8.0% | $7.99 | $8.34 | $8.76 | $9.25 | $9.86 |
| 9.0% | $7.04 | $7.28 | $7.55 | $7.88 | $8.26 |
| 10.0% | $6.32 | $6.49 | $6.68 | $6.90 | $7.15 |
| 11.0% | $5.75 | $5.87 | $6.01 | $6.17 | $6.35 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Lantronix Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions