What is Ltc Properties Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ltc Properties Inc's reported free cash flow gives $53.95 per share. The share price was $42.94 on September 25, 2026, 20% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $27.51 | -36% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $53.95 | +26% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $106.67 | +148% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $73.96 | $80.13 | $87.67 | $97.10 | $109.22 |
| 8.0% | $58.98 | $62.98 | $67.71 | $73.39 | $80.33 |
| 9.0% | $48.06 | $50.80 | $53.95 | $57.64 | $61.99 |
| 10.0% | $39.76 | $41.71 | $43.91 | $46.43 | $49.34 |
| 11.0% | $33.25 | $34.67 | $36.27 | $38.06 | $40.09 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ltc Properties Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions