What is Stride, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Stride, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $233.76 per share. The share price was $76.82 on November 10, 2026, 67% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $146.20 | +90% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $233.76 | +204% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $408.29 | +431% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $300.00 | $320.44 | $345.41 | $376.62 | $416.75 |
| 8.0% | $250.41 | $263.66 | $279.32 | $298.11 | $321.08 |
| 9.0% | $214.25 | $223.31 | $233.76 | $245.96 | $260.37 |
| 10.0% | $186.77 | $193.21 | $200.51 | $208.85 | $218.48 |
| 11.0% | $165.20 | $169.93 | $175.21 | $181.14 | $187.87 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Stride, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions