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Stocks LQDT DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Liquidity Services Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Liquidity Services Inc's reported free cash flow gives $66.88 per share. The share price was $43.61 on September 25, 2026, 35% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$59M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$51.7M
Cash
$219.8M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
32,411,075
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
18.3%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$43.30-1%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$66.88+53%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$110.79+154%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$84.74$90.30$97.11$105.61$116.55
8.0%$71.32$74.93$79.20$84.32$90.58
9.0%$61.56$64.03$66.88$70.20$74.13
10.0%$54.16$55.92$57.91$60.18$62.81
11.0%$48.37$49.66$51.10$52.72$54.55

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Liquidity Services Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (18.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Liquidity Services Inc company page